What is E.TO's DCF valuation?

Enterprise Group Inc (E.TO) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 24, 2025, Enterprise Group Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $4.58 per share. With the current market price at $1.62, this represents a potential upside of 182.4%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $2.72
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $4.58
Potential Upside (5-year) 68.0%
Potential Upside (10-year) 182.4%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.4% - 7.8%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $35 million in 12-2024 to $147 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 15.4%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2024 35 3%
12-2025 50 44%
12-2026 62 24%
12-2027 75 21%
12-2028 87 16%
12-2029 98 12%
12-2030 107 10%
12-2031 118 10%
12-2032 128 8%
12-2033 138 8%
12-2034 147 7%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 13% in 12-2024 to 13% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2024 5 13%
12-2025 7 13%
12-2026 8 13%
12-2027 10 13%
12-2028 12 13%
12-2029 13 13%
12-2030 14 13%
12-2031 16 13%
12-2032 17 13%
12-2033 18 13%
12-2034 20 13%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $9 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 29% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2025 11
12-2026 14
12-2027 17
12-2028 19
12-2029 21
12-2030 25

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 87
Days Inventory 7
Days Payables 49

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2025 22 0 14 4 3
2026 27 0 18 1 8
2027 33 0 22 2 9
2028 38 0 25 3 10
2029 42 0 28 1 13

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.4% - 7.8%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 1.0% - 3.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 16.0x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 2.72 68.0%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 4.58 182.4%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 6.17 281.1%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 8.19 405.7%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $208M
  • 10-Year Model: $351M

Investment Conclusion

Is Enterprise Group Inc (E.TO) a buy or a sell? Enterprise Group Inc is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Enterprise Group Inc (E.TO) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 182.4%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Steady revenue growth (15.4% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $1.62.