What is DISH.L's DCF valuation?

BigDish PLC (DISH.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 18, 2025, BigDish PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.11, this represents a potential upside of 0.0%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) 0.0%
Potential Upside (10-year) 0.0%
Discount Rate (WACC) -

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
03-2020 0 30%
03-2021 0 6%
03-2022 0 2%
03-2023 0 4%
03-2024 0 5%
03-2025 0 5%
03-2026 0 7%
03-2027 0 5%
03-2028 0 2%
03-2029 0 2%
03-2030 0 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -6527% in 03-2020 to -174% by 03-2030, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
03-2020 (1) -6527%
03-2021 (1) -124%
03-2022 (1) -127%
03-2023 (1) -132%
03-2024 (1) -139%
03-2025 (1) -145%
03-2026 (2) -156%
03-2027 (2) -164%
03-2028 (2) -167%
03-2029 (2) -171%
03-2030 (2) -174%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 498% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
03-2021 0
03-2022 0
03-2023 0
03-2024 0
03-2025 0
03-2026 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 2,230
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 356,619

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2021 (1) (0) 0 (3) 1
2022 (1) (0) 0 (1) (1)
2023 (2) (0) 0 1 (3)
2024 (2) (0) 0 (1) (1)
2025 (2) (0) 0 (0) (1)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): - (selected: -)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: - (selected: -)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 4.8x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 0.0%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 0.0%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(45)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(38)M

Investment Conclusion

Is BigDish PLC (DISH.L) a buy or a sell? BigDish PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, BigDish PLC (DISH.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of 0.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -6527% to -174%)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.11.