What is DIGP's DCF valuation?

Digipath Inc (DIGP) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 17, 2025, Digipath Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.03, this represents a potential upside of 0.0%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) 0.0%
Potential Upside (10-year) 0.0%
Discount Rate (WACC) -

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $3 million in 09-2022 to $4 million by 09-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 2.9%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
09-2022 3 8%
09-2023 3 5%
09-2024 3 5%
09-2025 3 3%
09-2026 3 6%
09-2027 3 3%
09-2028 3 2%
09-2029 4 3%
09-2030 4 2%
09-2031 4 3%
09-2032 4 3%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -76% in 09-2022 to -44% by 09-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
09-2022 (2) -76%
09-2023 (2) -53%
09-2024 (2) -51%
09-2025 (2) -49%
09-2026 (2) -47%
09-2027 (2) -46%
09-2028 (2) -45%
09-2029 (2) -45%
09-2030 (2) -45%
09-2031 (2) -44%
09-2032 (2) -44%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 3% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
09-2023 0
09-2024 0
09-2025 0
09-2026 0
09-2027 0
09-2028 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 37
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 93

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
3M/2023 (0) (0) 0 0 (0)
2024 (2) (1) 0 0 (1)
2025 (2) (1) 0 0 (1)
2026 (2) (1) 0 0 (1)
2027 (2) (1) 0 0 (1)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): - (selected: -)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: - (selected: -)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 5.6x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 0.0%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 0.0%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(68)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(59)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Digipath Inc (DIGP) a buy or a sell? Digipath Inc is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Digipath Inc (DIGP) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of 0.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -76% to -44%)
  • Steady revenue growth (2.9% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.03.