What is DFP's Intrinsic value?

Flaherty & Crumrine Dynamic Preferred and Income Fund Inc (DFP) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 9, 2025, Flaherty & Crumrine Dynamic Preferred and Income Fund Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $0.37 to $35.19 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) $34.50 +69.8%
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) $29.63 +45.8%
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) $25.50 +25.5%
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) $35.19 +73.2%
Earnings Power Value $0.37 -98.2%

Is Flaherty & Crumrine Dynamic Preferred and Income Fund Inc (DFP) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $20.32, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Flaherty & Crumrine Dynamic Preferred and Income Fund Inc's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Values the company based on projected future cash flows
  2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Values the company based on expected future dividend payments
  3. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.9% 4.4%
Equity market risk premium 4.6% 5.6%
Adjusted beta 1.01 1.34
Cost of equity 8.5% 12.4%
Cost of debt 4.0% 9.1%
Tax rate 26.2% 27.0%
Debt/Equity ratio 0.66 0.66
After-tax WACC 6.3% 10.1%

Valuation Methods

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:

  • Forecast Period: 5-year DCF and 10-year DCF
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 0.0% (range: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Discount Rate: 8.2% (range: 0.0% - 9.3%)

Key Projections:

  • Revenue growth from $48 (FY11-2024) to $68 (FY11-2034)
  • Net profit margin expansion from 171% to 125%
  • Capital expenditures maintained at approximately 0% of revenue
DCF Model Fair Value Enterprise Value % from Terminal Value
5-Year Growth $30 $885M 68.8%
10-Year Growth $34 $985M 49.5%
5-Year EBITDA $83 $1,972M 86.0%
10-Year EBITDA $77 $1,855M 73.2%

2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:

Multi-Stage DDM:

  • Current payout ratio: 32.9%
  • Stable payout ratio: 90.0%
  • Growth transition: 5 years
  • Cost of equity: 10.4%
  • Long-term growth rate: 0.5%
  • Fair value: $25.50 (25.5% from current price)

Stable DDM:

  • Stable payout ratio: 70% (Low) to 90% (High)
  • Cost of equity: 12.4% (Low) to 8.5% (High)
  • Long-term growth rate: 0.0% (Low) to 1.0% (High)
  • Fair value range: $23 to $48
  • Selected fair value: $35.19 (73.2% from current price)

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $22M
Discount Rate (WACC) 10.1% - 6.3%
Enterprise Value $218M - $349M
Net Debt $276M
Equity Value $(58)M - $73M
Outstanding Shares 21M
Fair Value $(3) - $4
Selected Fair Value $0.37

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $417M
Enterprise Value $693M
Trailing P/E 5.09
Forward P/E 6.61
Trailing EV/EBITDA 26.50
Current Dividend Yield 646.90%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) -5.92%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.66

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) 30% $10.35
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) 25% $7.41
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) 20% $5.10
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) 15% $5.28
Earnings Power Value 10% $0.04
Weighted Average 100% $28.17

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Flaherty & Crumrine Dynamic Preferred and Income Fund Inc's weighted average intrinsic value is $28.17, which is approximately 38.6% above the current market price of $20.32.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (171% to 125% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation

Given these factors, we believe Flaherty & Crumrine Dynamic Preferred and Income Fund Inc is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.