As of June 6, 2025, Firma Oponiarska Debica SA's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $34.24 to $136.34 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $34.24 | -58.5% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $44.00 | -46.7% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $48.14 | -41.7% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $136.34 | +65.3% |
| Earnings Power Value | $47.84 | -42.0% |
Is Firma Oponiarska Debica SA (DBC.WA) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $82.50, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Firma Oponiarska Debica SA's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 5.5% | 6.0% |
| Equity market risk premium | 6.3% | 7.3% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.65 | 0.7 |
| Cost of equity | 9.6% | 11.6% |
| Cost of debt | 6.1% | 36.5% |
| Tax rate | 20.2% | 20.8% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0 | 0 |
| After-tax WACC | 9.6% | 11.7% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $44 | $590M | 67.8% |
| 10-Year Growth | $34 | $455M | 37.9% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $72 | $978M | 80.6% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $57 | $767M | 63.2% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $68M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 11.7% - 9.6% |
| Enterprise Value | $579M - $706M |
| Net Debt | $(17)M |
| Equity Value | $597M - $724M |
| Outstanding Shares | 14M |
| Fair Value | $43 - $52 |
| Selected Fair Value | $47.84 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $1138M |
| Enterprise Value | $1121M |
| Trailing P/E | 6.11 |
| Forward P/E | 14.17 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 5.65 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 26.05% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.01 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $10.27 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $11.00 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $9.63 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $20.45 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $4.78 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $56.13 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Firma Oponiarska Debica SA's weighted average intrinsic value is $56.13, which is approximately 32.0% below the current market price of $82.50.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Firma Oponiarska Debica SA is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.