As of June 18, 2025, Christie Group plc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $75.99 to $908.61 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $147.08 | +17.7% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $133.51 | +6.8% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $75.99 | -39.2% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $174.51 | +39.6% |
| Earnings Power Value | $908.61 | +626.9% |
Is Christie Group plc (CTG.L) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $125.00, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Christie Group plc's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Equity market risk premium | 6.0% | 7.0% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| Cost of equity | 6.9% | 8.6% |
| Cost of debt | 7.6% | 8.1% |
| Tax rate | 14.6% | 19.0% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| After-tax WACC | 6.8% | 8.2% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $134 | $42M | 84.8% |
| 10-Year Growth | $147 | $46M | 70.7% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $79 | $26M | 75.9% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $103 | $33M | 59.7% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $19M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 8.2% - 6.8% |
| Enterprise Value | $236M - $287M |
| Net Debt | $4M |
| Equity Value | $232M - $283M |
| Outstanding Shares | 0M |
| Fair Value | $820 - $997 |
| Selected Fair Value | $908.61 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $35M |
| Enterprise Value | $39M |
| Trailing P/E | 17.66 |
| Forward P/E | 31.69 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 6.45 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 68.42% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | -19.51% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.23 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $44.12 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $33.38 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $15.20 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $26.18 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $90.86 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $209.74 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Christie Group plc's weighted average intrinsic value is $209.74, which is approximately 67.8% above the current market price of $125.00.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Christie Group plc is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.