What is CSX.V's DCF valuation?

Clean Seed Capital Group Ltd (CSX.V) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 20, 2025, Clean Seed Capital Group Ltd has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.09, this represents a potential upside of -951.5%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -1424.8%
Potential Upside (10-year) -951.5%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.0% - 6.4%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $1 million in 06-2023 to $2 million by 06-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.2%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
06-2023 1 17031%
06-2024 1 5%
06-2025 1 3%
06-2026 1 2%
06-2027 1 2%
06-2028 1 2%
06-2029 2 4%
06-2030 2 2%
06-2031 2 2%
06-2032 2 2%
06-2033 2 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -208% in 06-2023 to -141% by 06-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
06-2023 (3) -208%
06-2024 (2) -150%
06-2025 (2) -148%
06-2026 (2) -146%
06-2027 (2) -145%
06-2028 (2) -143%
06-2029 (2) -143%
06-2030 (2) -142%
06-2031 (2) -142%
06-2032 (2) -142%
06-2033 (2) -141%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 313% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
06-2024 1
06-2025 2
06-2026 3
06-2027 3
06-2028 4
06-2029 4

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 0
Days Inventory 85
Days Payables 461

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2024 (1) (1) 4 (1) (4)
2025 (0) (1) 4 0 (4)
2026 1 (1) 4 0 (3)
2027 2 (1) 4 (0) (2)
2028 2 (1) 5 0 (1)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.0% - 6.4%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 4.7%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 11.0x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -1424.8%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -951.5%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(108)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(67)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Clean Seed Capital Group Ltd (CSX.V) a buy or a sell? Clean Seed Capital Group Ltd is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Clean Seed Capital Group Ltd (CSX.V) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -951.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -208% to -141%)
  • Steady revenue growth (7.2% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.09.