What is CSI.CN's DCF valuation?

Chemesis International Inc (CSI.CN) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 22, 2025, Chemesis International Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.19, this represents a potential upside of -583.9%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -594.0%
Potential Upside (10-year) -583.9%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.9% - 9.1%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
06-2022 0 5%
06-2023 0 5%
06-2024 0 2%
06-2025 0 4%
06-2026 0 2%
06-2027 0 2%
06-2028 0 6%
06-2029 0 5%
06-2030 0 2%
06-2031 0 7%
06-2032 0 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -860% in 06-2022 to -36% by 06-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
06-2022 (0) -860%
06-2023 (0) -26%
06-2024 (0) -27%
06-2025 (0) -28%
06-2026 (0) -28%
06-2027 (0) -29%
06-2028 (0) -30%
06-2029 (0) -32%
06-2030 (0) -33%
06-2031 (0) -35%
06-2032 (0) -36%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 1412% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
06-2023 0
06-2024 0
06-2025 0
06-2026 0
06-2027 0
06-2028 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 1,929
Days Inventory 125
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2023 (1) (0) 0 (0) (2)
2024 (1) (0) 0 0 (2)
2025 (1) (0) 0 0 (2)
2026 (1) (0) 0 (0) (2)
2027 (1) (0) 0 0 (2)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.9% - 9.1%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 19.3x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -594.0%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -583.9%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(43)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(42)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Chemesis International Inc (CSI.CN) a buy or a sell? Chemesis International Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Chemesis International Inc (CSI.CN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -583.9%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -860% to -36%)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.19.