As of May 27, 2025, Carl Data Solutions Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.05, this represents a potential upside of -1947.1%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -2011.5% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -1947.1% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.3% - 7.2% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $2 million in 06-2022 to $2 million by 06-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 0.0%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2022 | 2 | 39% |
| 06-2023 | 2 | 5% |
| 06-2024 | 2 | 2% |
| 06-2025 | 2 | 2% |
| 06-2026 | 2 | 6% |
| 06-2027 | 2 | 2% |
| 06-2028 | 2 | 4% |
| 06-2029 | 2 | 3% |
| 06-2030 | 2 | 2% |
| 06-2031 | 2 | 2% |
| 06-2032 | 2 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -152% in 06-2022 to -112% by 06-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2022 | (2) | -152% |
| 06-2023 | (2) | -112% |
| 06-2024 | (2) | -112% |
| 06-2025 | (2) | -112% |
| 06-2026 | (2) | -112% |
| 06-2027 | (2) | -112% |
| 06-2028 | (2) | -112% |
| 06-2029 | (2) | -112% |
| 06-2030 | (2) | -112% |
| 06-2031 | (2) | -112% |
| 06-2032 | (2) | -112% |
. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 06-2023 | 0 |
| 06-2024 | 0 |
| 06-2025 | 0 |
| 06-2026 | 0 |
| 06-2027 | 0 |
| 06-2028 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 88 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | (2) | (1) | 0 | 0 | (2) |
| 2024 | (3) | (1) | 0 | 0 | (2) |
| 2025 | (3) | (1) | 0 | (0) | (2) |
| 2026 | (3) | (1) | 0 | 0 | (2) |
| 2027 | (3) | (1) | 0 | 0 | (2) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -2011.5% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -1947.1% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Carl Data Solutions Inc (CRL.CN) a buy or a sell? Carl Data Solutions Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Carl Data Solutions Inc (CRL.CN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -1947.1%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.05.