As of June 23, 2025, Circle Property PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $30.69 to $326.65 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $263.76 | +7435.9% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $219.31 | +6166.0% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $83.47 | +2285.0% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $30.69 | +776.7% |
| Earnings Power Value | $326.65 | +9232.9% |
Is Circle Property PLC (CRC.L) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $3.50, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Circle Property PLC's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Equity market risk premium | 6.0% | 7.0% |
| Adjusted beta | 1.45 | 2.73 |
| Cost of equity | 12.6% | 24.1% |
| Cost of debt | 4.0% | 7.6% |
| Tax rate | 5.9% | 14.2% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 20.91 | 20.91 |
| After-tax WACC | 4.2% | 7.3% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $219 | $43M | 79.5% |
| 10-Year Growth | $264 | $56M | 65.7% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $200 | $38M | 76.5% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $242 | $50M | 61.4% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $4M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 7.3% - 4.2% |
| Enterprise Value | $54M - $95M |
| Net Debt | $(21)M |
| Equity Value | $75M - $116M |
| Outstanding Shares | 0M |
| Fair Value | $257 - $397 |
| Selected Fair Value | $326.65 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $1M |
| Enterprise Value | $-20M |
| Trailing P/E | 0.61 |
| Forward P/E | 0.28 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 13.45 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 19371.19% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 9.59% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 20.91 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $79.13 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $54.83 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $16.69 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $4.60 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $32.67 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $187.92 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Circle Property PLC's weighted average intrinsic value is $187.92, which is approximately 5269.1% above the current market price of $3.50.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Circle Property PLC is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.