As of December 15, 2025, Crew Energy Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $0.73 to $9.26 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $3.40 | -54.1% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $9.26 | +25.1% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $0.73 | -90.1% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $4.04 | -45.5% |
| Earnings Power Value | $7.79 | +5.3% |
Is Crew Energy Inc (CR.TO) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $7.40, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Crew Energy Inc's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 3.2% | 3.7% |
| Equity market risk premium | 5.1% | 6.1% |
| Adjusted beta | 1 | 1.15 |
| Cost of equity | 8.3% | 11.2% |
| Cost of debt | 4.1% | 6.6% |
| Tax rate | 20.4% | 22.8% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| After-tax WACC | 8.0% | 10.8% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $9 | $1,546M | 68.6% |
| 10-Year Growth | $3 | $616M | 11.1% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $4 | $759M | 36.1% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $3 | $598M | 8.4% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $120M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.8% - 8.0% |
| Enterprise Value | $1,116M - $1,512M |
| Net Debt | $76M |
| Equity Value | $1,039M - $1,436M |
| Outstanding Shares | 159M |
| Fair Value | $7 - $9 |
| Selected Fair Value | $7.79 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $1175M |
| Enterprise Value | $1251M |
| Trailing P/E | 17.11 |
| Forward P/E | 9.79 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 2.75 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 0.00% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.06 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $1.02 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $2.31 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $0.15 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $0.61 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $0.78 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $4.86 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Crew Energy Inc's intrinsic value is $4.86, which is approximately 34.3% below the current market price of $7.40.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Crew Energy Inc is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.