What is CPTR.CN's Intrinsic value?

Captor Capital Corp (CPTR.CN) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 21, 2025, Captor Capital Corp's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $0.33 to $0.33 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Earnings Power Value $0.33 -23.4%

Is Captor Capital Corp (CPTR.CN) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $0.43, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Captor Capital Corp's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.2% 3.7%
Equity market risk premium 5.1% 6.1%
Adjusted beta 1 3.16
Cost of equity 8.2% 23.4%
Cost of debt 5.0% 5.0%
Tax rate 12.4% 18.3%
Debt/Equity ratio 5.82 5.82
After-tax WACC 4.9% 6.9%

Valuation Methods

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $(0)M
Discount Rate (WACC) 6.9% - 4.9%
Enterprise Value $(4)M - $(6)M
Net Debt $(6)M
Equity Value $2M - $0M
Outstanding Shares 3M
Fair Value $1 - $0
Selected Fair Value $0.33

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $1M
Enterprise Value $-5M
Trailing P/E 0.00
Forward P/E 0.00
Trailing EV/EBITDA 17.30
Current Dividend Yield 62.96%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 0.00%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 5.82

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Earnings Power Value 100% $0.03
Weighted Average 100% $0.33

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Captor Capital Corp's weighted average intrinsic value is $0.33, which is approximately 23.4% below the current market price of $0.43.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (-44% to -16% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation

Given these factors, we believe Captor Capital Corp is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.