What is COR's DCF valuation?

CoreSite Realty Corp (COR) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 22, 2025, CoreSite Realty Corp has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $372.60 per share. With the current market price at $291.36, this represents a potential upside of 27.9%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $285.18
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $372.60
Potential Upside (5-year) -2.1%
Potential Upside (10-year) 27.9%
Discount Rate (WACC) 6.1% - 7.8%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $293959 million in 09-2024 to $725916 million by 09-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 9.5%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
09-2024 293959 12%
09-2025 327914 12%
09-2026 358747 9%
09-2027 387863 8%
09-2028 435075 12%
09-2029 480087 10%
09-2030 522225 9%
09-2031 574053 10%
09-2032 618193 8%
09-2033 665750 8%
09-2034 725916 9%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 1% in 09-2024 to 1% by 09-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
09-2024 1519 1%
09-2025 1695 1%
09-2026 1854 1%
09-2027 2005 1%
09-2028 2249 1%
09-2029 2481 1%
09-2030 2699 1%
09-2031 2967 1%
09-2032 3195 1%
09-2033 3441 1%
09-2034 3752 1%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $450 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
09-2025 500
09-2026 549
09-2027 597
09-2028 670
09-2029 755
09-2030 828

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 31
Days Inventory 25
Days Payables 65

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2025 1456 270 311 (194) 1069
2026 3187 592 680 (989) 2904
2027 3449 640 735 (613) 2688
2028 3870 717 825 (1,002) 3330
2029 4286 792 910 (1,105) 3689

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 6.1% - 7.8%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 1.0% - 3.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 14.4x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 285.18 -2.1%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 372.60 27.9%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 243.27 -16.5%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 339.08 16.4%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $61,120M
  • 10-Year Model: $78,055M

Investment Conclusion

Is CoreSite Realty Corp (COR) a buy or a sell? CoreSite Realty Corp is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, CoreSite Realty Corp (COR) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 27.9%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Steady revenue growth (9.5% CAGR)

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $291.36.