As of May 22, 2025, Conzzeta AG's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $578.74 to $2400.46 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $735.77 | -35.6% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $578.74 | -49.3% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $635.75 | -44.3% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $2400.46 | +110.2% |
| Earnings Power Value | $2265.80 | +98.4% |
Is Conzzeta AG (CON.SW) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $1142.00, the stock appears to be fairly valued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Conzzeta AG's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 1.6% | 2.1% |
| Equity market risk premium | 4.7% | 5.7% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.98 | 1.13 |
| Cost of equity | 6.3% | 9.1% |
| Cost of debt | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Tax rate | 19.5% | 21.2% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0 | 0 |
| After-tax WACC | 6.3% | 9.1% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $579 | $931M | 74.9% |
| 10-Year Growth | $736 | $1,256M | 64.6% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $548 | $867M | 73.1% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $623 | $1,022M | 56.4% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $330M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.1% - 6.3% |
| Enterprise Value | $3,612M - $5,229M |
| Net Debt | $(266)M |
| Equity Value | $3,877M - $5,494M |
| Outstanding Shares | 2M |
| Fair Value | $1,875 - $2,657 |
| Selected Fair Value | $2265.80 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $2362M |
| Enterprise Value | $2096M |
| Trailing P/E | 12.38 |
| Forward P/E | 36.81 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 5.95 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 787.56% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 43.10% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.00 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $220.73 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $144.69 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $127.15 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $360.07 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $226.58 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $1079.22 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Conzzeta AG's weighted average intrinsic value is $1079.22, which is approximately 5.5% below the current market price of $1142.00.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Conzzeta AG is currently fairly valued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.