As of June 22, 2025, Conafi Prestito SpA has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.14, this represents a potential upside of -3902.6%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -3403.0% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -3902.6% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.3% - 7.9% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $3 million in 12-2023 to $7 million by 12-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 8.8%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 3 | 50% |
| 12-2024 | 3 | 11% |
| 12-2025 | 4 | 10% |
| 12-2026 | 4 | 8% |
| 12-2027 | 4 | 9% |
| 12-2028 | 5 | 7% |
| 12-2029 | 5 | 8% |
| 12-2030 | 5 | 8% |
| 12-2031 | 6 | 8% |
| 12-2032 | 6 | 7% |
| 12-2033 | 7 | 10% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -102% in 12-2023 to -83% by 12-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | (3) | -102% |
| 12-2024 | (3) | -86% |
| 12-2025 | (3) | -85% |
| 12-2026 | (3) | -85% |
| 12-2027 | (4) | -84% |
| 12-2028 | (4) | -84% |
| 12-2029 | (4) | -84% |
| 12-2030 | (4) | -84% |
| 12-2031 | (5) | -84% |
| 12-2032 | (5) | -84% |
| 12-2033 | (6) | -83% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 3% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 0 |
| 12-2025 | 0 |
| 12-2026 | 0 |
| 12-2027 | 0 |
| 12-2028 | 0 |
| 12-2029 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 639 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 406 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2024 | (2) | (0) | 0 | (2) | (0) |
| 2025 | (5) | (0) | 0 | 1 | (6) |
| 2026 | (5) | (0) | 0 | 2 | (7) |
| 2027 | (6) | (0) | 0 | (1) | (5) |
| 2028 | (6) | (0) | 0 | 1 | (7) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -3403.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -3902.6% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Conafi Prestito SpA (CNF.MI) a buy or a sell? Conafi Prestito SpA is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Conafi Prestito SpA (CNF.MI) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -3902.6%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.14.