As of December 15, 2025, China Marine Food Group Ltd's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $0.10 to $0.52 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $0.45 | +9498.3% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $0.10 | +1994.6% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $0.27 | +5718.2% |
| Earnings Power Value | $0.52 | +10893.8% |
Is China Marine Food Group Ltd (CMFO) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $0.00, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate China Marine Food Group Ltd's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 3.9% | 4.4% |
| Equity market risk premium | 4.6% | 5.6% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.46 | 0.71 |
| Cost of equity | 6.0% | 8.8% |
| Cost of debt | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| Tax rate | 15.6% | 18.2% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 6.02 | 6.02 |
| After-tax WACC | 4.5% | 4.8% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $0 | $48M | 84.9% |
| 10-Year Growth | $0 | $157M | 89.5% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $1 | $189M | 96.1% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $1 | $235M | 92.9% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $8M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 4.8% - 4.5% |
| Enterprise Value | $172M - $183M |
| Net Debt | $18M |
| Equity Value | $154M - $166M |
| Outstanding Shares | 310M |
| Fair Value | $0 - $1 |
| Selected Fair Value | $0.52 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $1M |
| Enterprise Value | $19M |
| Trailing P/E | 0.00 |
| Forward P/E | 0.00 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 15.90 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 0.00% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 6.02 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 35% | $0.14 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 29% | $0.02 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 24% | $0.05 |
| Earnings Power Value | 12% | $0.05 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $0.31 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, China Marine Food Group Ltd's intrinsic value is $0.31, which is approximately 6566.1% above the current market price of $0.00.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe China Marine Food Group Ltd is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.