What is CANL's DCF valuation?

Cannlabs Inc (CANL) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 17, 2025, Cannlabs Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.00, this represents a potential upside of -74693764.2%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -3406305.4%
Potential Upside (10-year) -74693764.2%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.2% - 11.9%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $1 million in 12-2014 to $4897 million by 12-2024, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 133.9%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2014 1 354%
12-2015 4 184%
12-2016 11 181%
12-2017 31 180%
12-2018 74 143%
12-2019 170 129%
12-2020 372 119%
12-2021 764 105%
12-2022 1486 95%
12-2023 2732 84%
12-2024 4897 79%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -238% in 12-2014 to -161% by 12-2024, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2014 (3) -238%
12-2015 (7) -171%
12-2016 (18) -169%
12-2017 (51) -167%
12-2018 (122) -165%
12-2019 (277) -163%
12-2020 (603) -162%
12-2021 (1,237) -162%
12-2022 (2,402) -162%
12-2023 (4,406) -161%
12-2024 (7,881) -161%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 10% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2015 0
12-2016 0
12-2017 1
12-2018 2
12-2019 6
12-2020 13

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 13
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
9M/2015 (7) (2) 0 (0) (5)
2016 (24) (7) 1 0 (19)
2017 (68) (19) 3 1 (53)
2018 (162) (45) 7 2 (126)
2019 (367) (102) 16 5 (287)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.2% - 11.9%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 4.9%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 5.6x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -3406305.4%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -74693764.2%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 NaN%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 NaN%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(2,767)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(60,736)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Cannlabs Inc (CANL) a buy or a sell? Cannlabs Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Cannlabs Inc (CANL) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -74693764.2%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -238% to -161%)
  • Steady revenue growth (133.9% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.00.