What is CANA.CN's DCF valuation?

Cannamerica Brands Corp (CANA.CN) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 21, 2025, Cannamerica Brands Corp has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.01, this represents a potential upside of -6885.5%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -7197.2%
Potential Upside (10-year) -6885.5%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.6% - 6.3%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
03-2021 0 58%
03-2022 0 5%
03-2023 0 2%
03-2024 0 2%
03-2025 0 3%
03-2026 0 5%
03-2027 0 2%
03-2028 0 2%
03-2029 0 2%
03-2030 1 4%
03-2031 1 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -919% in 03-2021 to -349% by 03-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
03-2021 (4) -919%
03-2022 (3) -275%
03-2023 (3) -280%
03-2024 (3) -285%
03-2025 (3) -294%
03-2026 (3) -310%
03-2027 (3) -316%
03-2028 (3) -322%
03-2029 (3) -329%
03-2030 (3) -343%
03-2031 (3) -349%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 5% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
03-2022 0
03-2023 0
03-2024 0
03-2025 0
03-2026 0
03-2027 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 68
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2022 (1) (0) 0 0 (1)
2023 (2) (1) 0 (0) (1)
2024 (2) (1) 0 0 (1)
2025 (3) (1) 0 0 (2)
2026 (3) (1) 0 0 (2)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.6% - 6.3%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 4.9x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -7197.2%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -6885.5%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(70)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(67)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Cannamerica Brands Corp (CANA.CN) a buy or a sell? Cannamerica Brands Corp is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Cannamerica Brands Corp (CANA.CN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -6885.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -919% to -349%)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.01.