As of May 22, 2025, Camellia PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $1457.81 to $13866.35 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $10459.49 | +98.3% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $7586.51 | +43.8% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $13866.35 | +162.9% |
| Earnings Power Value | $1457.81 | -72.4% |
Is Camellia PLC (CAM.L) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $5275.00, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Camellia PLC's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Equity market risk premium | 6.0% | 7.0% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.45 | 0.5 |
| Cost of equity | 6.7% | 8.5% |
| Cost of debt | 9.6% | 24.0% |
| Tax rate | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| After-tax WACC | 6.9% | 10.7% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $7,586 | $197M | 75.5% |
| 10-Year Growth | $10,459 | $273M | 56.4% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $6,454 | $167M | 71.0% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $8,425 | $219M | 45.6% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $3M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.7% - 6.9% |
| Enterprise Value | $26M - $40M |
| Net Debt | $(6)M |
| Equity Value | $32M - $46M |
| Outstanding Shares | 0M |
| Fair Value | $1,191 - $1,725 |
| Selected Fair Value | $1457.81 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $141M |
| Enterprise Value | $135M |
| Trailing P/E | 0.00 |
| Forward P/E | 8.09 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 4.00 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 314.30% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 0.00% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.25 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 35% | $3137.85 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 29% | $1896.63 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 24% | $2773.27 |
| Earnings Power Value | 12% | $145.78 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $9357.09 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Camellia PLC's weighted average intrinsic value is $9357.09, which is approximately 77.4% above the current market price of $5275.00.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Camellia PLC is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.