As of May 22, 2025, Camellia PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.00, this represents a potential upside of 100.2%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | 45.2% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | 100.2% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.9% - 10.7% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $272 million in 12-2023 to $376 million by 12-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 3.3%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 272 | 8% |
| 12-2024 | 263 | -4% |
| 12-2025 | 284 | 8% |
| 12-2026 | 307 | 8% |
| 12-2027 | 321 | 5% |
| 12-2028 | 338 | 5% |
| 12-2029 | 345 | 2% |
| 12-2030 | 355 | 3% |
| 12-2031 | 362 | 2% |
| 12-2032 | 369 | 2% |
| 12-2033 | 376 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from 5% in 12-2023 to 11% by 12-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 13 | 5% |
| 12-2024 | 17 | 7% |
| 12-2025 | 22 | 8% |
| 12-2026 | 28 | 9% |
| 12-2027 | 33 | 10% |
| 12-2028 | 38 | 11% |
| 12-2029 | 39 | 11% |
| 12-2030 | 40 | 11% |
| 12-2031 | 41 | 11% |
| 12-2032 | 42 | 11% |
| 12-2033 | 42 | 11% |
with a 5-year average of $14 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 5% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 13 |
| 12-2025 | 13 |
| 12-2026 | 13 |
| 12-2027 | 14 |
| 12-2028 | 15 |
| 12-2029 | 15 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 38 |
| Days Inventory | 106 |
| Days Payables | 35 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2024 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2025 | 30 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 8 |
| 2026 | 37 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 12 |
| 2027 | 43 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 2028 | 50 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 22 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | 45.2% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | 100.2% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 6453.91 | +Inf% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 8425.02 | +Inf% |
Is Camellia PLC (CAM.L) a buy or a sell? Camellia PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Camellia PLC (CAM.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of 100.2%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.00.