As of June 19, 2025, CACI International Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $246.49 to $732.77 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $732.77 | +61.2% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $585.99 | +28.9% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $469.41 | +3.3% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $314.28 | -30.9% |
| Earnings Power Value | $246.49 | -45.8% |
Is CACI International Inc (CACI) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $454.54, the stock appears to be moderately undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate CACI International Inc's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 3.9% | 4.4% |
| Equity market risk premium | 4.6% | 5.6% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.76 | 0.82 |
| Cost of equity | 7.3% | 9.5% |
| Cost of debt | 4.0% | 4.9% |
| Tax rate | 19.7% | 20.2% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| After-tax WACC | 6.8% | 8.7% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $586 | $15,774M | 79.7% |
| 10-Year Growth | $733 | $19,002M | 62.8% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $522 | $14,358M | 77.7% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $675 | $17,728M | 60.2% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $634M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 8.7% - 6.8% |
| Enterprise Value | $7,274M - $9,343M |
| Net Debt | $2,888M |
| Equity Value | $4,386M - $6,455M |
| Outstanding Shares | 22M |
| Fair Value | $199 - $294 |
| Selected Fair Value | $246.49 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $9995M |
| Enterprise Value | $12884M |
| Trailing P/E | 20.97 |
| Forward P/E | 17.84 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 11.40 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 0.00% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.16 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $219.83 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $146.50 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $93.88 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $47.14 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $24.65 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $532.00 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, CACI International Inc's weighted average intrinsic value is $532.00, which is approximately 17.0% above the current market price of $454.54.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe CACI International Inc is currently moderately undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.