As of May 27, 2025, Beyond Meat Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $2.85, this represents a potential upside of -3624.8%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -4332.1% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -3624.8% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 4.4% - 5.3% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $326 million in 12-2024 to $397 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 2.0%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 326 | 5% |
| 12-2025 | 297 | -9% |
| 12-2026 | 312 | 5% |
| 12-2027 | 318 | 2% |
| 12-2028 | 325 | 2% |
| 12-2029 | 331 | 2% |
| 12-2030 | 345 | 4% |
| 12-2031 | 352 | 2% |
| 12-2032 | 368 | 5% |
| 12-2033 | 376 | 2% |
| 12-2034 | 397 | 6% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -49% in 12-2024 to -26% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | (160) | -49% |
| 12-2025 | (133) | -45% |
| 12-2026 | (127) | -41% |
| 12-2027 | (117) | -37% |
| 12-2028 | (107) | -33% |
| 12-2029 | (97) | -29% |
| 12-2030 | (99) | -29% |
| 12-2031 | (99) | -28% |
| 12-2032 | (101) | -27% |
| 12-2033 | (100) | -27% |
| 12-2034 | (103) | -26% |
with a 5-year average of $61 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 14% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2025 | 55 |
| 12-2026 | 36 |
| 12-2027 | 31 |
| 12-2028 | 38 |
| 12-2029 | 45 |
| 12-2030 | 47 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 31 |
| Days Inventory | 150 |
| Days Payables | 47 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M/2025 | (61) | (0) | 32 | (6) | (87) |
| 2026 | (94) | (0) | 45 | (9) | (130) |
| 2027 | (90) | (0) | 46 | 3 | (139) |
| 2028 | (73) | (0) | 47 | (1) | (118) |
| 2029 | (56) | (0) | 48 | (3) | (101) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -4332.1% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -3624.8% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Beyond Meat Inc (BYND) a buy or a sell? Beyond Meat Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Beyond Meat Inc (BYND) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -3624.8%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $2.85.