What is BPET.L's DCF valuation?

BMO Private Equity Trust PLC (BPET.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 23, 2025, BMO Private Equity Trust PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $394.00, this represents a potential upside of 493.8%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) 399.1%
Potential Upside (10-year) 493.8%
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.1% - 10.1%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $139 million in 12-2021 to $231 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 5.2%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2021 139 82%
12-2022 145 5%
12-2023 149 3%
12-2024 157 5%
12-2025 163 4%
12-2026 174 7%
12-2027 186 7%
12-2028 189 2%
12-2029 201 6%
12-2030 219 9%
12-2031 231 6%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 91% in 12-2021 to 74% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2021 127 91%
12-2022 107 74%
12-2023 110 74%
12-2024 116 74%
12-2025 121 74%
12-2026 129 74%
12-2027 137 74%
12-2028 140 74%
12-2029 148 74%
12-2030 162 74%
12-2031 171 74%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2022 0
12-2023 0
12-2024 0
12-2025 0
12-2026 0
12-2027 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 0
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 9

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2022 133 25 0 1 107
2023 136 26 0 (0) 110
2024 143 27 0 (0) 116
2025 149 28 0 0 121
2026 159 30 0 (0) 129

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 7.1% - 10.1%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.0% - 1.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 5.2x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 399.1%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 493.8%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 1313.46 233.4%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 1770.33 349.3%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $1,476M
  • 10-Year Model: $1,755M

Investment Conclusion

Is BMO Private Equity Trust PLC (BPET.L) a buy or a sell? BMO Private Equity Trust PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, BMO Private Equity Trust PLC (BPET.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of 493.8%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Steady revenue growth (5.2% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $394.00.