What is BNKR.L's Intrinsic value?

Bankers Investment Trust PLC (BNKR.L) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 5, 2025, Bankers Investment Trust PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $40.28 to $258.14 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) $258.14 +121.8%
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) $242.66 +108.5%
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) $164.99 +41.7%
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) $174.65 +50.0%
Earnings Power Value $40.28 -65.4%

Is Bankers Investment Trust PLC (BNKR.L) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $116.40, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Bankers Investment Trust PLC's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Values the company based on projected future cash flows
  2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Values the company based on expected future dividend payments
  3. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 4.0% 4.5%
Equity market risk premium 6.0% 7.0%
Adjusted beta 0.96 1.02
Cost of equity 9.7% 12.1%
Cost of debt 4.0% 4.6%
Tax rate 1.6% 2.3%
Debt/Equity ratio 0.1 0.1
After-tax WACC 9.2% 11.4%

Valuation Methods

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:

  • Forecast Period: 5-year DCF and 10-year DCF
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 0.0% (range: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Discount Rate: 10.3% (range: 0.0% - 9.3%)

Key Projections:

  • Revenue growth from $244 (FY10-2024) to $316 (FY10-2034)
  • Net profit margin expansion from 94% to 94%
  • Capital expenditures maintained at approximately 0% of revenue
DCF Model Fair Value Enterprise Value % from Terminal Value
5-Year Growth $243 $2,623M 62.0%
10-Year Growth $258 $2,787M 39.8%
5-Year EBITDA $280 $3,019M 67.0%
10-Year EBITDA $284 $3,057M 45.1%

2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:

Multi-Stage DDM:

  • Current payout ratio: 13.9%
  • Stable payout ratio: 90.0%
  • Growth transition: 5 years
  • Cost of equity: 10.9%
  • Long-term growth rate: 0.5%
  • Fair value: $164.99 (41.7% from current price)

Stable DDM:

  • Stable payout ratio: 70% (Low) to 90% (High)
  • Cost of equity: 12.1% (Low) to 9.7% (High)
  • Long-term growth rate: 0.0% (Low) to 1.0% (High)
  • Fair value range: $125 to $224
  • Selected fair value: $174.65 (50.0% from current price)

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $49M
Discount Rate (WACC) 11.4% - 9.2%
Enterprise Value $431M - $535M
Net Debt $57M
Equity Value $374M - $478M
Outstanding Shares 11M
Fair Value $35 - $45
Selected Fair Value $40.28

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $1231M
Enterprise Value $1288M
Trailing P/E 5.35
Forward P/E 5.15
Trailing EV/EBITDA 12.50
Current Dividend Yield 262.65%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 4.37%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.10

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) 30% $77.44
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) 25% $60.66
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) 20% $33.00
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) 15% $26.20
Earnings Power Value 10% $4.03
Weighted Average 100% $201.33

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Bankers Investment Trust PLC's weighted average intrinsic value is $201.33, which is approximately 73.0% above the current market price of $116.40.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (94% to 94% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Conservative capital structure (Debt/Equity of 0.10)
  • Historical dividend growth of 4.37%

Given these factors, we believe Bankers Investment Trust PLC is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.