What is BBBY's DCF valuation?

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 24, 2025, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.08, this represents a potential upside of -303583.3%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -336047.8%
Potential Upside (10-year) -303583.3%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.0% - 6.5%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $5345 million in 02-2023 to $7251 million by 02-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 3.1%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
02-2023 5345 32%
02-2024 5590 5%
02-2025 5702 2%
02-2026 5830 2%
02-2027 6124 5%
02-2028 6247 2%
02-2029 6372 2%
02-2030 6499 2%
02-2031 6899 6%
02-2032 7109 3%
02-2033 7251 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -65% in 02-2023 to -36% by 02-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
02-2023 (3,499) -65%
02-2024 (2,702) -48%
02-2025 (2,597) -46%
02-2026 (2,500) -43%
02-2027 (2,472) -40%
02-2028 (2,372) -38%
02-2029 (2,390) -38%
02-2030 (2,408) -37%
02-2031 (2,526) -37%
02-2032 (2,571) -36%
02-2033 (2,591) -36%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 3% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
02-2024 207
02-2025 241
02-2026 240
02-2027 205
02-2028 176
02-2029 181

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 0
Days Inventory 98
Days Payables 54

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2024 (3,157) (778) 167 129 (2,675)
2025 (2,985) (748) 170 (4) (2,403)
2026 (2,860) (720) 174 (62) (2,252)
2027 (2,852) (712) 183 28 (2,350)
2028 (2,749) (683) 186 (17) (2,236)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.0% - 6.5%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 4.8%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 6.2x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -336047.8%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -303583.3%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(106,331)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(95,893)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) a buy or a sell? Bed Bath & Beyond Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -303583.3%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -65% to -36%)
  • Steady revenue growth (3.1% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.08.