As of June 24, 2025, Broadcom Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $36.48 to $85.40 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
---|---|---|
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $85.40 | -66.3% |
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $61.07 | -75.9% |
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $48.85 | -80.8% |
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $44.77 | -82.4% |
Earnings Power Value | $36.48 | -85.6% |
Is Broadcom Inc (AVGO) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $253.77, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Broadcom Inc's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
WACC Component | Low | High |
---|---|---|
Long-term bond rate | 3.9% | 4.4% |
Equity market risk premium | 4.6% | 5.6% |
Adjusted beta | 1.05 | 1.2 |
Cost of equity | 8.7% | 11.6% |
Cost of debt | 4.8% | 4.9% |
Tax rate | 7.2% | 13.0% |
Debt/Equity ratio | 0.06 | 0.06 |
After-tax WACC | 8.5% | 11.2% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
---|---|---|---|
5-Year Growth | $61 | $344,950M | 78.4% |
10-Year Growth | $85 | $459,358M | 63.4% |
5-Year EBITDA | $66 | $368,874M | 79.8% |
10-Year EBITDA | $90 | $482,759M | 65.2% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
EPV Component | Value |
---|---|
Normalized Earnings | $22,096M |
Discount Rate (WACC) | 11.2% - 8.5% |
Enterprise Value | $197,338M - $261,371M |
Net Debt | $57,810M |
Equity Value | $139,528M - $203,561M |
Outstanding Shares | 4,702M |
Fair Value | $30 - $43 |
Selected Fair Value | $36.48 |
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Market Capitalization | $1193214M |
Enterprise Value | $1251024M |
Trailing P/E | 92.38 |
Forward P/E | 103.38 |
Trailing EV/EBITDA | 16.90 |
Current Dividend Yield | 89.29% |
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 15.40% |
Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.06 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
---|---|---|
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $25.62 |
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $15.27 |
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $9.77 |
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $6.72 |
Earnings Power Value | 10% | $3.65 |
Weighted Average | 100% | $61.02 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Broadcom Inc's weighted average intrinsic value is $61.02, which is approximately 76.0% below the current market price of $253.77.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Broadcom Inc is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.