As of May 29, 2025, Australis Capital Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.03, this represents a potential upside of -13412.7%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -12671.1% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -13412.7% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.3% - 7.3% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $1 million in 03-2021 to $1 million by 03-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 0.0%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 03-2021 | 1 | 224% |
| 03-2022 | 1 | 8% |
| 03-2023 | 1 | 5% |
| 03-2024 | 1 | 6% |
| 03-2025 | 1 | 4% |
| 03-2026 | 1 | 6% |
| 03-2027 | 1 | 7% |
| 03-2028 | 1 | 2% |
| 03-2029 | 1 | 8% |
| 03-2030 | 1 | 5% |
| 03-2031 | 1 | 4% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -3550% in 03-2021 to -2592% by 03-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 03-2021 | (25) | -3550% |
| 03-2022 | (20) | -2024% |
| 03-2023 | (21) | -2114% |
| 03-2024 | (22) | -2234% |
| 03-2025 | (23) | -2314% |
| 03-2026 | (25) | -2454% |
| 03-2027 | (26) | -2595% |
| 03-2028 | (27) | -2595% |
| 03-2029 | (29) | -2594% |
| 03-2030 | (30) | -2593% |
| 03-2031 | (31) | -2592% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 208% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 03-2022 | 1 |
| 03-2023 | 1 |
| 03-2024 | 1 |
| 03-2025 | 2 |
| 03-2026 | 2 |
| 03-2027 | 2 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 506 |
| Days Inventory | 63 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3M/2022 | (7) | (2) | 0 | (0) | (5) |
| 2023 | (28) | (8) | 2 | 0 | (23) |
| 2024 | (30) | (8) | 2 | 0 | (24) |
| 2025 | (31) | (8) | 2 | (0) | (24) |
| 2026 | (33) | (9) | 2 | 0 | (26) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -12671.1% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -13412.7% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Australis Capital Inc (AUSA.CN) a buy or a sell? Australis Capital Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Australis Capital Inc (AUSA.CN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -13412.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.03.