As of May 23, 2025, Audacy Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $3.32 per share. With the current market price at $0.09, this represents a potential upside of 3451.3%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $3.32 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -1399.4% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | 3451.3% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 4.9% - 14.9% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $1254 million in 12-2022 to $1883 million by 12-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 4.1%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 1254 | 3% |
| 12-2023 | 1323 | 6% |
| 12-2024 | 1413 | 7% |
| 12-2025 | 1496 | 6% |
| 12-2026 | 1548 | 3% |
| 12-2027 | 1579 | 2% |
| 12-2028 | 1622 | 3% |
| 12-2029 | 1661 | 2% |
| 12-2030 | 1770 | 7% |
| 12-2031 | 1806 | 2% |
| 12-2032 | 1883 | 4% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -11% in 12-2022 to 6% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | (141) | -11% |
| 12-2023 | (106) | -8% |
| 12-2024 | (71) | -5% |
| 12-2025 | (32) | -2% |
| 12-2026 | 10 | 1% |
| 12-2027 | 51 | 3% |
| 12-2028 | 60 | 4% |
| 12-2029 | 70 | 4% |
| 12-2030 | 83 | 5% |
| 12-2031 | 94 | 5% |
| 12-2032 | 107 | 6% |
. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 5% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 70 |
| 12-2024 | 84 |
| 12-2025 | 87 |
| 12-2026 | 77 |
| 12-2027 | 77 |
| 12-2028 | 80 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 85 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 7 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 47 | (30) | 69 | 44 | (36) |
| 2024 | 115 | (20) | 74 | 7 | 55 |
| 2025 | 175 | (9) | 78 | 17 | 89 |
| 2026 | 223 | 3 | 81 | 18 | 122 |
| 2027 | 278 | 15 | 82 | 4 | 177 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -1399.4% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 3.32 | 3451.3% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Audacy Inc (AUD) a buy or a sell? Audacy Inc is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Audacy Inc (AUD) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 3451.3%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $0.09.