What is ATT.L's DCF valuation?

Allianz Technology Trust PLC (ATT.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 22, 2025, Allianz Technology Trust PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $967.65 per share. With the current market price at $395.50, this represents a potential upside of 183.3%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $967.65
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) 144.7%
Potential Upside (10-year) 183.3%
Discount Rate (WACC) 8.4% - 10.1%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $249 million in 12-2021 to $400 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 4.9%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2021 249 52%
12-2022 260 5%
12-2023 278 7%
12-2024 288 3%
12-2025 293 2%
12-2026 305 4%
12-2027 320 5%
12-2028 334 4%
12-2029 357 7%
12-2030 377 6%
12-2031 400 6%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 96% in 12-2021 to 96% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2021 239 96%
12-2022 250 96%
12-2023 267 96%
12-2024 276 96%
12-2025 281 96%
12-2026 293 96%
12-2027 307 96%
12-2028 320 96%
12-2029 343 96%
12-2030 362 96%
12-2031 384 96%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2022 0
12-2023 0
12-2024 0
12-2025 0
12-2026 0
12-2027 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 4
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 8

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2022 251 1 0 1 248
2023 267 1 0 (0) 267
2024 277 1 0 (0) 276
2025 282 1 0 0 281
2026 294 1 0 0 293

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 8.4% - 10.1%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.0% - 1.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 6.1x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 967.65 144.7%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 183.3%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 660.77 67.1%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 865.53 118.8%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $3,190M
  • 10-Year Model: $3,701M

Investment Conclusion

Is Allianz Technology Trust PLC (ATT.L) a buy or a sell? Allianz Technology Trust PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Allianz Technology Trust PLC (ATT.L) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 183.3%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Steady revenue growth (4.9% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $395.50.