What is ATQT.L's DCF valuation?

ATTRAQT Group plc (ATQT.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 14, 2025, ATTRAQT Group plc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $30.00, this represents a potential upside of -403.4%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -354.2%
Potential Upside (10-year) -403.4%
Discount Rate (WACC) 6.0% - 8.7%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $23 million in 12-2021 to $78 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13.0%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2021 23 9%
12-2022 27 19%
12-2023 31 14%
12-2024 36 16%
12-2025 40 12%
12-2026 46 16%
12-2027 50 9%
12-2028 57 13%
12-2029 64 13%
12-2030 71 11%
12-2031 78 10%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -15% in 12-2021 to -10% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2021 (4) -15%
12-2022 (4) -16%
12-2023 (4) -14%
12-2024 (5) -13%
12-2025 (5) -12%
12-2026 (5) -11%
12-2027 (5) -11%
12-2028 (6) -10%
12-2029 (7) -10%
12-2030 (7) -10%
12-2031 (8) -10%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $1 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 7% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2022 2
12-2023 2
12-2024 2
12-2025 2
12-2026 2
12-2027 3

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 71
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 82

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2022 (1) (0) 1 1 (3)
2023 (3) (0) 2 0 (5)
2024 (3) (0) 2 1 (6)
2025 (3) (0) 3 1 (6)
2026 (3) (0) 3 1 (6)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 6.0% - 8.7%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 11.0x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -354.2%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -403.4%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(155)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(184)M

Investment Conclusion

Is ATTRAQT Group plc (ATQT.L) a buy or a sell? ATTRAQT Group plc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, ATTRAQT Group plc (ATQT.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -403.4%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -15% to -10%)
  • Steady revenue growth (13.0% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $30.00.