As of May 22, 2025, Aberdeen Standard European Logistics Income PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $10.37 to $87.90 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $87.90 | +56.1% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $77.48 | +37.6% |
| Earnings Power Value | $10.37 | -81.6% |
Is Aberdeen Standard European Logistics Income PLC (ASLI.L) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $56.30, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Aberdeen Standard European Logistics Income PLC's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Equity market risk premium | 6.0% | 7.0% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.5 | 0.87 |
| Cost of equity | 7.0% | 11.1% |
| Cost of debt | 4.0% | 5.7% |
| Tax rate | 17.2% | 20.0% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| After-tax WACC | 5.1% | 7.8% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $92 | $629M | 76.9% |
| 10-Year Growth | $105 | $681M | 58.7% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $32 | $377M | 61.5% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $55 | $473M | 40.5% |
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $18M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 7.8% - 5.1% |
| Enterprise Value | $236M - $359M |
| Net Debt | $246M |
| Equity Value | $(10)M - $113M |
| Outstanding Shares | 4M |
| Fair Value | $(2) - $27 |
| Selected Fair Value | $10.37 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $234M |
| Enterprise Value | $441M |
| Trailing P/E | 0.00 |
| Forward P/E | 0.00 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 14.70 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 421.76% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 17.70% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 1.02 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 46% | $26.37 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 38% | $19.37 |
| Earnings Power Value | 15% | $1.04 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $71.97 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Aberdeen Standard European Logistics Income PLC's weighted average intrinsic value is $71.97, which is approximately 27.8% above the current market price of $56.30.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Aberdeen Standard European Logistics Income PLC is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.