As of June 22, 2025, Aqualisbraemar Loc ASA has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $13.05, this represents a potential upside of -314.0%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -455.1% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -314.0% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.2% - 8.3% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $151 million in 12-2021 to $681 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 16.3%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 151 | 96% |
| 12-2022 | 168 | 12% |
| 12-2023 | 190 | 13% |
| 12-2024 | 241 | 27% |
| 12-2025 | 296 | 23% |
| 12-2026 | 354 | 20% |
| 12-2027 | 414 | 17% |
| 12-2028 | 485 | 17% |
| 12-2029 | 550 | 13% |
| 12-2030 | 626 | 14% |
| 12-2031 | 681 | 9% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from 2% in 12-2021 to 3% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 3 | 2% |
| 12-2022 | 6 | 3% |
| 12-2023 | 7 | 3% |
| 12-2024 | 8 | 3% |
| 12-2025 | 10 | 3% |
| 12-2026 | 12 | 3% |
| 12-2027 | 14 | 3% |
| 12-2028 | 17 | 3% |
| 12-2029 | 19 | 3% |
| 12-2030 | 22 | 3% |
| 12-2031 | 23 | 3% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 0 |
| 12-2023 | 0 |
| 12-2024 | 1 |
| 12-2025 | 1 |
| 12-2026 | 1 |
| 12-2027 | 1 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 216 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 63 | (56) |
| 2023 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 9 | (1) |
| 2024 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 18 | (8) |
| 2025 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 40 | (28) |
| 2026 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 29 | (14) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -455.1% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -314.0% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Aqualisbraemar Loc ASA (AQUA.OL) a buy or a sell? Aqualisbraemar Loc ASA is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Aqualisbraemar Loc ASA (AQUA.OL) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -314.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $13.05.