As of May 23, 2025, AppSpotr AB has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.08, this represents a potential upside of -2512.5%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -2109.5% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -2512.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.1% - 8.8% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $7 million in 12-2023 to $12 million by 12-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 5.5%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 7 | 11% |
| 12-2024 | 5 | -28% |
| 12-2025 | 6 | 11% |
| 12-2026 | 6 | 12% |
| 12-2027 | 7 | 11% |
| 12-2028 | 8 | 10% |
| 12-2029 | 9 | 12% |
| 12-2030 | 9 | 9% |
| 12-2031 | 10 | 6% |
| 12-2032 | 11 | 10% |
| 12-2033 | 12 | 7% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -305% in 12-2023 to -210% by 12-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | (21) | -305% |
| 12-2024 | (12) | -236% |
| 12-2025 | (13) | -230% |
| 12-2026 | (14) | -225% |
| 12-2027 | (15) | -220% |
| 12-2028 | (17) | -215% |
| 12-2029 | (18) | -214% |
| 12-2030 | (20) | -213% |
| 12-2031 | (21) | -212% |
| 12-2032 | (23) | -211% |
| 12-2033 | (25) | -210% |
with a 5-year average of $1 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 24% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 0 |
| 12-2025 | 1 |
| 12-2026 | 1 |
| 12-2027 | 1 |
| 12-2028 | 1 |
| 12-2029 | 2 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 60 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 359 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3M/2024 | (4) | (1) | 0 | (2) | (1) |
| 2025 | (16) | (3) | 1 | 5 | (18) |
| 2026 | (17) | (4) | 1 | (1) | (14) |
| 2027 | (18) | (4) | 2 | (1) | (14) |
| 2028 | (19) | (4) | 2 | 1 | (18) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -2109.5% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -2512.5% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is AppSpotr AB (APTR.ST) a buy or a sell? AppSpotr AB is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, AppSpotr AB (APTR.ST) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -2512.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.08.