As of June 8, 2025, Anaconda Mining Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.47, this represents a potential upside of -128.5%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -163.9% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -128.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.5% - 7.9% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $28 million in 12-2021 to $47 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 5.3%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 28 | 33% |
| 12-2022 | 40 | 43% |
| 12-2023 | 37 | -6% |
| 12-2024 | 38 | 2% |
| 12-2025 | 40 | 5% |
| 12-2026 | 41 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 43 | 4% |
| 12-2028 | 44 | 2% |
| 12-2029 | 45 | 2% |
| 12-2030 | 46 | 3% |
| 12-2031 | 47 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -26% in 12-2021 to 3% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | (7) | -26% |
| 12-2022 | (5) | -13% |
| 12-2023 | (4) | -10% |
| 12-2024 | (2) | -6% |
| 12-2025 | (1) | -3% |
| 12-2026 | (0) | 0% |
| 12-2027 | 0 | 0% |
| 12-2028 | 0 | 1% |
| 12-2029 | 1 | 1% |
| 12-2030 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2031 | 1 | 3% |
with a 5-year average of $11 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 38% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 14 |
| 12-2023 | 15 |
| 12-2024 | 15 |
| 12-2025 | 16 |
| 12-2026 | 15 |
| 12-2027 | 15 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 0 |
| Days Inventory | 85 |
| Days Payables | 62 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M/2022 | 5 | (1) | 11 | 3 | (8) |
| 2023 | 9 | (1) | 14 | (1) | (3) |
| 2024 | 11 | (1) | 14 | (1) | (2) |
| 2025 | 14 | (0) | 15 | 1 | (2) |
| 2026 | 14 | (0) | 15 | (0) | (1) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -163.9% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -128.5% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.12 | -73.6% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.10 | -78.2% |
Is Anaconda Mining Inc (ANX.TO) a buy or a sell? Anaconda Mining Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Anaconda Mining Inc (ANX.TO) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -128.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.47.