As of May 22, 2025, Agraflora Organics International Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.03, this represents a potential upside of -225558.6%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -229274.1% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -225558.6% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 3.9% - 4.3% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $1 million in 12-2022 to $1 million by 12-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 0.0%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 1 | 27% |
| 12-2023 | 1 | 5% |
| 12-2024 | 1 | 3% |
| 12-2025 | 1 | 3% |
| 12-2026 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2028 | 1 | 3% |
| 12-2029 | 1 | 4% |
| 12-2030 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2031 | 1 | 4% |
| 12-2032 | 1 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -2974% in 12-2022 to -1965% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | (20) | -2974% |
| 12-2023 | (15) | -1550% |
| 12-2024 | (16) | -1593% |
| 12-2025 | (16) | -1632% |
| 12-2026 | (17) | -1664% |
| 12-2027 | (17) | -1695% |
| 12-2028 | (17) | -1747% |
| 12-2029 | (18) | -1810% |
| 12-2030 | (18) | -1846% |
| 12-2031 | (19) | -1927% |
| 12-2032 | (20) | -1965% |
. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 204% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 1 |
| 12-2024 | 2 |
| 12-2025 | 1 |
| 12-2026 | 1 |
| 12-2027 | 2 |
| 12-2028 | 2 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 0 |
| Days Inventory | 58 |
| Days Payables | 1,305 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | (16) | (6) | 1 | (0) | (12) |
| 2024 | (16) | (6) | 1 | 0 | (12) |
| 2025 | (18) | (6) | 2 | (0) | (13) |
| 2026 | (18) | (6) | 2 | (0) | (13) |
| 2027 | (18) | (6) | 2 | 0 | (13) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -229274.1% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -225558.6% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Agraflora Organics International Inc (AGRA.CN) a buy or a sell? Agraflora Organics International Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Agraflora Organics International Inc (AGRA.CN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -225558.6%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.03.