As of May 23, 2025, Applied Graphene Materials PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $5.25, this represents a potential upside of -2904.2%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -3014.0% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -2904.2% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.0% - 7.4% |
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 07-2021 | 0 | 48% |
| 07-2022 | 0 | 7% |
| 07-2023 | 0 | 2% |
| 07-2024 | 0 | 7% |
| 07-2025 | 0 | 2% |
| 07-2026 | 0 | 3% |
| 07-2027 | 0 | 2% |
| 07-2028 | 0 | 6% |
| 07-2029 | 0 | 2% |
| 07-2030 | 0 | 4% |
| 07-2031 | 0 | 3% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -2580% in 07-2021 to -404% by 07-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 07-2021 | (3) | -2580% |
| 07-2022 | (3) | -307% |
| 07-2023 | (3) | -312% |
| 07-2024 | (3) | -331% |
| 07-2025 | (3) | -336% |
| 07-2026 | (3) | -344% |
| 07-2027 | (4) | -350% |
| 07-2028 | (4) | -370% |
| 07-2029 | (4) | -378% |
| 07-2030 | (4) | -391% |
| 07-2031 | (4) | -404% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 235% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 07-2022 | 0 |
| 07-2023 | 0 |
| 07-2024 | 0 |
| 07-2025 | 0 |
| 07-2026 | 0 |
| 07-2027 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 39 |
| Days Inventory | 86 |
| Days Payables | 299 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2022 | (2) | (0) | 0 | 0 | (2) |
| 2023 | (4) | (1) | 0 | (0) | (3) |
| 2024 | (4) | (1) | 0 | (0) | (3) |
| 2025 | (4) | (1) | 0 | 0 | (3) |
| 2026 | (4) | (1) | 0 | 0 | (3) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -3014.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -2904.2% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Applied Graphene Materials PLC (AGM.L) a buy or a sell? Applied Graphene Materials PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Applied Graphene Materials PLC (AGM.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -2904.2%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $5.25.