As of May 23, 2025, Advantex Marketing International Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.02 per share. With the current market price at $0.01, this represents a potential upside of 318.0%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.01 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.02 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | 14.1% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | 318.0% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 4.0% - 13.1% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $3 million in 06-2024 to $6 million by 06-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.2%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2024 | 3 | 51% |
| 06-2025 | 3 | 8% |
| 06-2026 | 4 | 7% |
| 06-2027 | 4 | 7% |
| 06-2028 | 4 | 3% |
| 06-2029 | 4 | 6% |
| 06-2030 | 5 | 8% |
| 06-2031 | 5 | 5% |
| 06-2032 | 5 | 6% |
| 06-2033 | 5 | 6% |
| 06-2034 | 6 | 4% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -85% in 06-2024 to -62% by 06-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2024 | (3) | -85% |
| 06-2025 | (2) | -62% |
| 06-2026 | (2) | -62% |
| 06-2027 | (2) | -62% |
| 06-2028 | (3) | -62% |
| 06-2029 | (3) | -62% |
| 06-2030 | (3) | -62% |
| 06-2031 | (3) | -62% |
| 06-2032 | (3) | -62% |
| 06-2033 | (3) | -62% |
| 06-2034 | (4) | -62% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 06-2025 | 0 |
| 06-2026 | 0 |
| 06-2027 | 0 |
| 06-2028 | 0 |
| 06-2029 | 0 |
| 06-2030 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 17 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2025 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 | 1 | (1) | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2027 | 1 | (1) | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2028 | 1 | (1) | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2029 | 1 | (1) | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.01 | 14.1% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.02 | 318.0% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Advantex Marketing International Inc (ADX.CN) a buy or a sell? Advantex Marketing International Inc is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Advantex Marketing International Inc (ADX.CN) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 318.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $0.01.