As of June 1, 2025, Allied Security Innovations Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.00, this represents a potential upside of -6360.7%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -6095.7% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -6360.7% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 3.7% - 4.5% |
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2017 | 0 | 19% |
| 12-2018 | 0 | 5% |
| 12-2019 | 0 | 3% |
| 12-2020 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2021 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2022 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2023 | 0 | 3% |
| 12-2024 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2025 | 0 | 4% |
| 12-2026 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 0 | 3% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -9% in 12-2017 to 0% by 12-2027, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2017 | (0) | -9% |
| 12-2018 | (0) | -2% |
| 12-2019 | (0) | -2% |
| 12-2020 | (0) | -1% |
| 12-2021 | (0) | -1% |
| 12-2022 | (0) | 0% |
| 12-2023 | (0) | 0% |
| 12-2024 | (0) | 0% |
| 12-2025 | (0) | 0% |
| 12-2026 | 0 | 0% |
| 12-2027 | 0 | 0% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2018 | 0 |
| 12-2019 | 0 |
| 12-2020 | 0 |
| 12-2021 | 0 |
| 12-2022 | 0 |
| 12-2023 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 292 |
| Days Inventory | 182 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 0 | (0) | 0 | (0) | 0 |
| 2019 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021 | 0 | (0) | 0 | (0) | 0 |
| 2022 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -6095.7% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -6360.7% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | NaN% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | NaN% |
Is Allied Security Innovations Inc (ADSV) a buy or a sell? Allied Security Innovations Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Allied Security Innovations Inc (ADSV) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -6360.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.00.