As of June 14, 2025, accesso Technology Group PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $179.97 to $545.55 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $350.85 | -29.8% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $311.49 | -37.7% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $179.97 | -64.0% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $203.60 | -59.3% |
| Earnings Power Value | $545.55 | +9.1% |
Is accesso Technology Group PLC (ACSO.L) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $500.00, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate accesso Technology Group PLC's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Equity market risk premium | 6.0% | 7.0% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| Cost of equity | 9.0% | 11.9% |
| Cost of debt | 4.9% | 32.9% |
| Tax rate | 16.5% | 20.3% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| After-tax WACC | 8.8% | 12.6% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $423 | $146M | 67.2% |
| 10-Year Growth | $476 | $168M | 49.1% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $477 | $168M | 71.5% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $514 | $183M | 53.4% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $29M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.6% - 8.8% |
| Enterprise Value | $226M - $326M |
| Net Debt | $(27)M |
| Equity Value | $254M - $353M |
| Outstanding Shares | 0M |
| Fair Value | $619 - $862 |
| Selected Fair Value | $545.55 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $205M |
| Enterprise Value | $185M |
| Trailing P/E | 30.61 |
| Forward P/E | 27.86 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 9.25 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 0.00% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.06 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $105.25 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $77.87 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $35.99 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $30.54 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $54.56 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $304.22 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, accesso Technology Group PLC's weighted average intrinsic value is $304.22, which is approximately 39.2% below the current market price of $500.00.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe accesso Technology Group PLC is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.