As of June 16, 2025, Aker Carbon Capture AS has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.19, this represents a potential upside of -1470.0%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -393.5% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -1470.0% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.3% - 6.7% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $6 million in 12-2024 to $127 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 35.7%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 6 | 100% |
| 12-2025 | 6 | 5% |
| 12-2026 | 10 | 57% |
| 12-2027 | 15 | 57% |
| 12-2028 | 22 | 47% |
| 12-2029 | 32 | 41% |
| 12-2030 | 45 | 42% |
| 12-2031 | 61 | 35% |
| 12-2032 | 79 | 30% |
| 12-2033 | 101 | 28% |
| 12-2034 | 127 | 26% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -237% in 12-2024 to 8% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | (14) | -237% |
| 12-2025 | (1) | -9% |
| 12-2026 | (1) | -5% |
| 12-2027 | (0) | -2% |
| 12-2028 | 0 | 1% |
| 12-2029 | 1 | 5% |
| 12-2030 | 2 | 5% |
| 12-2031 | 4 | 6% |
| 12-2032 | 5 | 7% |
| 12-2033 | 7 | 7% |
| 12-2034 | 10 | 8% |
with a 5-year average of $67 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 236% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2025 | 69 |
| 12-2026 | 71 |
| 12-2027 | 57 |
| 12-2028 | 39 |
| 12-2029 | 40 |
| 12-2030 | 59 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 23 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 299 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M/2025 | 18 | (0) | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 2026 | 1 | (0) | 23 | (4) | (17) |
| 2027 | (52) | (0) | 36 | (9) | (79) |
| 2028 | (121) | 0 | 53 | (1) | (173) |
| 2029 | (183) | 0 | 75 | (9) | (250) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -393.5% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -1470.0% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.10 | -47.5% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Aker Carbon Capture AS (ACC.OL) a buy or a sell? Aker Carbon Capture AS is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Aker Carbon Capture AS (ACC.OL) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -1470.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.19.