What is 7DIG.L's DCF valuation?

7digital Group plc (7DIG.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 22, 2025, 7digital Group plc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.69, this represents a potential upside of -654.2%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -694.4%
Potential Upside (10-year) -654.2%
Discount Rate (WACC) 6.2% - 8.4%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $7 million in 12-2021 to $10 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 3.6%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2021 7 3%
12-2022 7 5%
12-2023 7 2%
12-2024 7 2%
12-2025 8 5%
12-2026 8 5%
12-2027 8 4%
12-2028 9 2%
12-2029 9 2%
12-2030 9 5%
12-2031 10 5%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -58% in 12-2021 to -48% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2021 (4) -58%
12-2022 (4) -55%
12-2023 (4) -54%
12-2024 (4) -52%
12-2025 (4) -51%
12-2026 (4) -49%
12-2027 (4) -49%
12-2028 (4) -49%
12-2029 (4) -48%
12-2030 (5) -48%
12-2031 (5) -48%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $1 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 9% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2022 1
12-2023 0
12-2024 1
12-2025 1
12-2026 1
12-2027 1

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 46
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 376

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2022 (2) (0) 0 (0) (2)
2023 (3) (0) 1 0 (4)
2024 (3) (0) 1 0 (4)
2025 (3) (0) 1 (0) (4)
2026 (3) (0) 1 0 (4)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 6.2% - 8.4%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 10.4x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -694.4%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -654.2%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(110)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(102)M

Investment Conclusion

Is 7digital Group plc (7DIG.L) a buy or a sell? 7digital Group plc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, 7digital Group plc (7DIG.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -654.2%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -58% to -48%)
  • Steady revenue growth (3.6% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.69.